New Tropical Depression heading in direction of U.S. SE Coast - Sitcoms Online Message Boards

I am Roboto · 09-14-2004, 03:24 AM

TD-11 forms in the Atlantic, and the current track takes it toward the US-Southeast Coast. This is bad news for people in SC & Eastern FL just hit by Charley & Frances...

000
WTNT31 KNHC 140554
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM AST TUE SEP 14 2004

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN PASSING THROUGH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS... SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MARTEEN.

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD ALSO AFFECT THE REMAINDER OF THE
NORTHEN LESSER ANTILLES TO THE NORTH OF GUADELOUPE.

AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE VERY BROAD CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
ELEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 61.8 WEST
OR NEAR THE NORTHWEST TIP OF GUADELOUPE.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF THE DEPRESSION.

REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...16.3 N... 61.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER JARVINEN

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 14/0300Z 16.2N 61.2W 25 KT
12HR VT 14/1200Z 16.7N 62.6W 30 KT
24HR VT 15/0000Z 17.5N 64.6W 35 KT
36HR VT 15/1200Z 18.4N 66.3W 45 KT
48HR VT 16/0000Z 19.3N 67.5W 55 KT
72HR VT 17/0000Z 21.0N 69.6W 60 KT
96HR VT 18/0000Z 22.7N 71.3W 65 KT
120HR VT 19/0000Z 24.8N 73.0W 70 KT (Near the Bahamas)

Stormtracker TF · 09-14-2004, 05:02 AM

5am advisory...

000
WTNT31 KNHC 140837
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE SEP 14 2004

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN NEARING TROPICAL STORM STATUS...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SABA...ST.
EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTEN HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTEN.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS.

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD ALSO AFFECT THE REMAINDER OF THE
NORTHEN LESSER ANTILLES TO THE NORTH OF GUADELOUPE.

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 62.2 WEST OR ABOUT
190 MILES... 300 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ST. CROIX IN THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 50 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. A RECENT WIND REPORT FROM THE ISLAND OF DESIRADE WAS 37
MPH FROM THE SSW AND TD-11 SHOULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER
THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 7 TO 9 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF THE DEPRESSION.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...16.6 N... 62.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER JARVINEN

$$

Expected to be a Tropical Storm by later on today.

robyrob · 09-14-2004, 07:44 PM

what are you guys gonna do when storm season is over?

TF: "TROPICAL BREEZE MELVIN IS THREATENING MIAMI, WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 15 MILES AN HOUR....."

Stormtracker TF · 09-14-2004, 08:44 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by robyrob
what are you guys gonna do when storm season is over?

TF: "TROPICAL BREEZE MELVIN IS THREATENING MIAMI, WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 15 MILES AN HOUR....."

LOL

EmoJoe · 09-14-2004, 08:46 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by robyrob
what are you guys gonna do when storm season is over?

TF: "TROPICAL BREEZE MELVIN IS THREATENING MIAMI, WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 15 MILES AN HOUR....."

I am Roboto · 09-14-2004, 09:12 PM

Its official the tenth storm of the season...

000
WTNT31 KNHC 142355
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM AST TUE SEP 14 2004

...JEANNE HEADED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN COASTS OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC FROM CABRERA SOUTHWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS.

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD ALSO AFFECT THE REMAINDER OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

AT 8 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.1 WEST OR ABOUT 65
MILES... 110 KM...SOUTHEAST OF ST. CROIX.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR ST. CROIX LATER
TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY...AND NEAR PUERTO RICO WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND JEANNE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES
... 65 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE.

REPEATING THE 8 PM AST POSITION...17.0 N... 64.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 14/2100Z 16.8N 63.9W 50 KT
12HR VT 15/0600Z 17.4N 65.3W 55 KT
24HR VT 15/1800Z 18.1N 67.0W 65 KT...INLAND PUERTO RICO
36HR VT 16/0600Z 18.9N 68.6W 65 KT...NEAR DOM. REPUBLIC
48HR VT 16/1800Z 19.7N 70.0W 65 KT...NEAR DOM. REPUBLIC
72HR VT 17/1800Z 20.9N 72.0W 65 KT
96HR VT 18/1800Z 22.5N 74.5W 70 KT
120HR VT 19/1800Z 24.5N 75.5W 75 KT

$$

I am Roboto · 09-15-2004, 04:32 AM

000
WTNT31 KNHC 150542
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM AST WED SEP 15 2004

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN COASTS OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC FROM CABRERA SOUTHWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS.

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD ALSO AFFECT THE REMAINDER OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
ESTIMATED FROM SAN JUAN RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE
64.8 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES... 56 KM... SOUTH OF ST. CROIX.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13
KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR PUERTO RICO
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND JEANNE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES
... 65 KM FROM THE CENTER. UNCONFIRMED REPORTS OF SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 45 MPH...AND A GUST TO 75 MPH...HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FROM AN
ELEVATED LOCATION ON ST. CROIX.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE.

REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...17.2 N... 64.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM AST.

FORECASTER KNABB/JARVINEN

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 15/0300Z 17.2N 64.5W 50 KT
12HR VT 15/1200Z 17.7N 65.5W 55 KT
24HR VT 16/0000Z 18.6N 67.1W 65 KT
36HR VT 16/1200Z 19.6N 68.8W 65 KT
48HR VT 17/0000Z 20.5N 70.3W 65 KT
72HR VT 18/0000Z 21.5N 72.0W 65 KT
96HR VT 19/0000Z 23.0N 74.0W 70 KT
120HR VT 20/0000Z 25.0N 75.5W 75 KT

09-14-2004, 03:24 AM	#1
I am Roboto Senior Member wtfmate Join Date: Jul 17, 2003 Location: Virginia Posts: 3,776	New Tropical Depression heading in direction of U.S. SE Coast TD-11 forms in the Atlantic, and the current track takes it toward the US-Southeast Coast. This is bad news for people in SC & Eastern FL just hit by Charley & Frances... 000 WTNT31 KNHC 140554 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM AST TUE SEP 14 2004 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN PASSING THROUGH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS... SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MARTEEN. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD ALSO AFFECT THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHEN LESSER ANTILLES TO THE NORTH OF GUADELOUPE. AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE VERY BROAD CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 61.8 WEST OR NEAR THE NORTHWEST TIP OF GUADELOUPE. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF THE DEPRESSION. REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...16.3 N... 61.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST. FORECASTER JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/0300Z 16.2N 61.2W 25 KT 12HR VT 14/1200Z 16.7N 62.6W 30 KT 24HR VT 15/0000Z 17.5N 64.6W 35 KT 36HR VT 15/1200Z 18.4N 66.3W 45 KT 48HR VT 16/0000Z 19.3N 67.5W 55 KT 72HR VT 17/0000Z 21.0N 69.6W 60 KT 96HR VT 18/0000Z 22.7N 71.3W 65 KT 120HR VT 19/0000Z 24.8N 73.0W 70 KT (Near the Bahamas) Attached Images __________________ Chris.

09-14-2004, 05:02 AM	#2
Stormtracker TF Moderator Forum Idol Happy Easter! Join Date: Jul 19, 2002 Location: Detroit, Michigan Posts: 100,020	5am advisory... 000 WTNT31 KNHC 140837 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM AST TUE SEP 14 2004 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN NEARING TROPICAL STORM STATUS... AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTEN HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTEN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD ALSO AFFECT THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHEN LESSER ANTILLES TO THE NORTH OF GUADELOUPE. AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 62.2 WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES... 300 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ST. CROIX IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 50 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A RECENT WIND REPORT FROM THE ISLAND OF DESIRADE WAS 37 MPH FROM THE SSW AND TD-11 SHOULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 7 TO 9 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF THE DEPRESSION. REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...16.6 N... 62.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST. FORECASTER JARVINEN $$ Expected to be a Tropical Storm by later on today. Attached Images

09-14-2004, 07:44 PM	#3
robyrob Moderator Forum Legend certified wackball#3 Join Date: Aug 03, 2003 Location: hiding under the third booth at Arnold's Posts: 50,094	what are you guys gonna do when storm season is over? TF: "TROPICAL BREEZE MELVIN IS THREATENING MIAMI, WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 15 MILES AN HOUR....." __________________ * firefox * AdAware * HiJackThis * CoolWebShredder * Spybot * SpywareBlaster * Spyware Terminator * * GeeksToGo * AVG * AntiVir * Avast antivirus * Housecall Online * Sysinternals Security Utilities * * ZoneAlarm * Agnitum-firewall * Comodo Firewall * AVG Anti-Rootkit * RootkitRevealer * ParasiteCheck * * Annoyances * FreeCodecs * Mikes-Hosts-File * GRC.com * MSAntispyware * DVD's * TradeList * myspace *

09-14-2004, 09:12 PM	#6
I am Roboto Senior Member wtfmate Join Date: Jul 17, 2003 Location: Virginia Posts: 3,776	Its official the tenth storm of the season... 000 WTNT31 KNHC 142355 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM AST TUE SEP 14 2004 ...JEANNE HEADED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN COASTS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABRERA SOUTHWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD ALSO AFFECT THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. AT 8 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.1 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES... 110 KM...SOUTHEAST OF ST. CROIX. JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR ST. CROIX LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY...AND NEAR PUERTO RICO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND JEANNE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES ... 65 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE. REPEATING THE 8 PM AST POSITION...17.0 N... 64.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/2100Z 16.8N 63.9W 50 KT 12HR VT 15/0600Z 17.4N 65.3W 55 KT 24HR VT 15/1800Z 18.1N 67.0W 65 KT...INLAND PUERTO RICO 36HR VT 16/0600Z 18.9N 68.6W 65 KT...NEAR DOM. REPUBLIC 48HR VT 16/1800Z 19.7N 70.0W 65 KT...NEAR DOM. REPUBLIC 72HR VT 17/1800Z 20.9N 72.0W 65 KT 96HR VT 18/1800Z 22.5N 74.5W 70 KT 120HR VT 19/1800Z 24.5N 75.5W 75 KT $$ Attached Images

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09-15-2004, 04:32 AM	#7
I am Roboto Senior Member wtfmate Join Date: Jul 17, 2003 Location: Virginia Posts: 3,776	000 WTNT31 KNHC 150542 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM AST WED SEP 15 2004 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN COASTS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABRERA SOUTHWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD ALSO AFFECT THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS ESTIMATED FROM SAN JUAN RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 64.8 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES... 56 KM... SOUTH OF ST. CROIX. JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR PUERTO RICO DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND JEANNE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES ... 65 KM FROM THE CENTER. UNCONFIRMED REPORTS OF SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH...AND A GUST TO 75 MPH...HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FROM AN ELEVATED LOCATION ON ST. CROIX. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE. REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...17.2 N... 64.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST. FORECASTER KNABB/JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0300Z 17.2N 64.5W 50 KT 12HR VT 15/1200Z 17.7N 65.5W 55 KT 24HR VT 16/0000Z 18.6N 67.1W 65 KT 36HR VT 16/1200Z 19.6N 68.8W 65 KT 48HR VT 17/0000Z 20.5N 70.3W 65 KT 72HR VT 18/0000Z 21.5N 72.0W 65 KT 96HR VT 19/0000Z 23.0N 74.0W 70 KT 120HR VT 20/0000Z 25.0N 75.5W 75 KT