Tropical Storm Beryl-Possible East Coast threat

[Brent88]

This will almost certainly be Beryl in the next few hours. Looks like a threat to the East Coast. I doubt it gets too strong but a hurricane is not out of the question(NHC takes it up to 65 mph, 9 mph below a hurricane right now). The 12z GFDL also shifted west and has a landfall on Long Island! :eek:

NHC track isn't as far west, but still grazes the Outer Banks of North Carolina:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT02/refresh/AL0206W5_sm2+gif/181200W_sm.gif

Reconnisance Aircraft will be in the system shortly to determine intensity.

Public Advisory: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/NHC/TCPAT2

Discussion: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/NHC/TCDAT2

Visible Satellite(Daytime only):

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/vis.jpg

Infrared:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn.jpg

[Brent88]

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION VERY NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.3 WEST OR ABOUT 180
MILES...290 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...33.3 N...73.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

Edit:

:wallbang

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
500 PM EDT TUE JUL 18 2006

RECONNAISSANCE DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE DEPRESSION
HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. RECENT DATA FROM THE
AIRCRAFT THAT CAME IN AFTER SOME OF THE FORECAST PRODUCTS WERE
ISSUED INDICATE 1000 FT FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 46 KT IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND A PRESSURE OF 1007 MB. THIS CORRESPONDS
TO AT LEAST 35 KT SURFACE WINDS...AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE...
OR TCU PRODUCT... WILL ISSUED SHORTLY INDICATING THAT THE CYCLONE IS
NOW TROPICAL STORM BERYL.

[James"Thunder"Early]

Oh no, here we go