Tropical Storm Alpha forms

[theshark8777]

I have heard this was just upgraded from a depression...

And, as if Wilma weren't enough, a new tropical depression has formed southwest of Puerto Rico in the Caribbean Sea. Tropical Depression 25 is forecast to become Tropical Storm Alpha later today. If that happens, a new Atlantic Basin record for named storms will be established: 22 in one season. The depression/storm is forecast to move NNW over Haiti tomorrow, then through the southern Bahamas before turning northward and northeastward into the Atlantic.

A tropical storm warning has been issued for Haiti, and a combination of warnings and watches are posted for the Dominican Republic. A tropical storm watch has been posted for the southeastern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands. Heavy rain is beginning to spread into Hispaniola with up to a foot expected in isolated locations. Life-threatening flash floods and mudslides may result.

[gilligan fanatic]

Is this the first time it ever made it to Alpha?

[theshark8777]

WTNT35 KNHC 222102
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALPHA ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005

...ALPHA BECOMES THE TWENTY-SECOND NAMED STORM OF THE SEASON AND
BREAKS THE ALL-TIME RECORD FOR THE MOST ACTIVE SEASON ON RECORD...

AT 5 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE NORTHERN COAST. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS NOW IF EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COASTLINE OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

AT 5 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS UPGRADED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS.

A TROPICAL STROM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COASTLINE
OF HAITI.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALPHA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 68.9 WEST OR ABOUT 210
MILES... 335 KM... WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT
125 MILES... 200 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

ALPHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH ...24 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND SHOULD
BRING THE CENTER OF ALPHA TO THE COAST OF HISPANIOLA LATE TONIGHT
OR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER OF THE
TROPICAL STORM REACHES THE SOUTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4
TO 8 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...17.0 N... 68.9 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE... 1005 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
EDT.

FORECASTER MAINELLI/KNABB

[theshark8777]

This is crazy. Another storm! Sorry Brent I didn't mean to steal your thread, it just shocked me. There is still like 39 more days of Hurricane season left. How far will it go?

[Steve M.]

Is this the first time it ever made it to Alpha?


It's a new record, so yes, it is.

What's wrong with Xavier? :p

[Steve M.]

22 named storms out of 25 tropical depressions. . . not good.

[gilligan fanatic]

It's a new record, so yes, it is.

What's wrong with Xavier? :p

ok thanks. Do you know why they skip X,Y, and Z?

[Steve M.]

THe official reason is that there are not enough Christian (i.e., first) names that begain with X, Y, or Z (or Q or U, for that matter) to use over again. Uh, it's not like they have to use them that often. :confused: Besides, they use such names for Pacific storms, I believe.

Remember the "Addams Family" episode, by the way, where Gomez and Moriticia deliberately spent their trip in the path of a hurricane - "Hurricane Zsa Zsa?" :lol:

[Brent88]

FYI: From now until the end of November we average about 3 named storms... so we could concievably see Beta, Gamma, and Delta. Oh... and we've had storms in December before including TWO in 2003. :eek: The odds of a U.S. hurricane hit are decreasing RAPIDLY though. 60's for highs are expected as far south as CENTRAL FLORIDA Tuesday. That is December-like and will shut down the Gulf.

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALPHA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005

...ALPHA APPROACHING THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COASTLINES
OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS AND FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALPHA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 69.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70
MILES... 115 KM...SOUTH OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

ALPHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH ...24 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND SHOULD
BRING THE CENTER OF ALPHA TO THE COAST OF HISPANIOLA LATE TONIGHT
OR VERY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER OF THE
TROPICAL STORM REACHES THE SOUTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4
TO 8 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...17.4 N... 69.5 W. MOVEMENT
...NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[theshark8777]

FYI: From now until the end of November we average about 3 named storms... so we could concievably see Beta, Gamma, and Delta. Oh... and we've had storms in December before including TWO in 2003. :eek: The odds of a U.S. hurricane hit are decreasing RAPIDLY though. 60's for highs are expected as far south as CENTRAL FLORIDA Tuesday. That is December-like and will shut down the Gulf.


Thats insane, so what happens if they have to retire a greek alphabet name?

[theshark8777]

THe official reason is that there are not enough Christian (i.e., first) names that begain with X, Y, or Z (or Q or U, for that matter) to use over again. Uh, it's not like they have to use them that often. :confused: Besides, they use such names for Pacific storms, I believe.

Remember the "Addams Family" episode, by the way, where Gomez and Moriticia deliberately spent their trip in the path of a hurricane - "Hurricane Zsa Zsa?" :lol:

If you are interested here is a list of names for all cyclones all over the world. (sorry no Zsa Zsa!)
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml

[Brent88]

Thats insane, so what happens if they have to retire a greek alphabet name?

I am not sure... they will either

A. Not retire it
B. Skip it next time

Since the odds of having another Alpha are next to zero during the next 50 years, I would think it's a non-issue.

Just imagine if Wilma would have really been Alpha. :eek:

[Steve M.]

Thats insane, so what happens if they have to retire a greek alphabet name?


Anybody at the National Hurricane Center know Sanskrit? :lol:

[Brent88]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALPHA ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005

...ALPHA STRENGTHENS AS IT APPROACHES HISPANIOLA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COASTLINES
OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALPHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 70.1 WEST OR ABOUT 55
MILES... 90 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.

ALPHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH
...22 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO TAKE THE CENTER
OF ALPHA INLAND IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. A
TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED AFTER THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NOW ARE NEAR 50
MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. RAPID WEAKENING OVER
THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF HISPANIOLA IS EXPECTED AFTER LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES
... 85 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...17.7 N... 70.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[Janice Johnson]

There are TWO Hurricane storms coming in the month of October?:eek: :( I have been alive for 21 years, and I have NEVER seen a Hurricane come in October(the latest Hurricanes I have seen end in September), let alone 2 Hurricanes. I was shocked when I went on the internet and the welcome page said, "Tropical Storm Wilma forms. I was like, "Tropical Storm? Don't those usually turn into Hurricanes?:eek: Way in late October?( Then I went on the internet again yesterday, and it said, "Tropical Alpha forms." I was like, "We're not even done with Wilma yet!":eek: No break for us.:( So when Wilma is done, we will be looking for a new Hurricane, Alpha.:eek: We won't have any time to recuperate/rest from Wilma.:eek: :(

[theshark8777]

I haven't seen a projected path since yesterday, I'm sure Brent has, but I don't think Alpha is going to hit the US.

[theshark8777]

Alpha either has, or is about to be swallowed up by Wilma.

[Steve M.]

Alpha either has, or is about to be swallowed up by Wilma.


That's cannibalism! :lol:

[Brent88]

Alpha is the tiny thing to the east...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/IR4/20.jpg

It has about 12 hours before Wilma has it for a snack. Final advisory has already been issued.